Kachestvennye svoĭstva razlichnykh podkhodov k prognozirovanii︠u︡ sot︠s︡ialʹno-ekonomicheskikh pokazateleĭ RF
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In Russian. Annotation in English
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Government, business organizations are currently publishing many short-, medium- and long-term forecasts. Meanwhile, the consumers of such information, as a rule are not aware of the way the estimates were made. As a result, when making a choice, which forecast should be trusted most, the consumers cannot proceed from the method of forecasting. The paper proposes an approach that allows, using simple methods, to conduct a comparative analysis of the quality of estimates obtained by different models.
